Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 84.663867 93.964057 103.539609 114.112968 125.438164 137.182728 150.260476
2025-01-26 71.248425 85.068157 100.015183 117.286511 136.596043 157.425029 181.495346
2025-02-02 63.682429 79.952122 98.144258 119.800139 144.681261 172.183551 204.687355
2025-02-09 56.969017 74.856047 95.460567 120.634035 150.239491 183.641283 223.855850
2025-02-16 53.315359 72.814067 95.842117 124.583705 159.028083 198.527132 246.778300
2025-02-23 49.130325 69.670551 94.518252 126.164054 164.760360 209.688184 265.300379
2025-03-02 43.960574 64.834854 90.720273 124.370270 166.136858 215.478169 277.345109
2025-03-09 39.872962 61.041966 87.911721 123.509292 168.404700 222.151814 290.320728
2025-03-16 36.600930 58.058070 85.897749 123.433535 171.470127 229.673226 304.256895
2025-03-23 35.134502 57.391299 86.791840 126.997926 179.055316 242.732482 324.991795
2025-03-30 32.824251 55.373460 85.748378 127.924396 183.213615 251.524956 340.519176
2025-04-06 30.718310 53.488215 84.749956 128.797236 187.224159 260.097150 355.787608
2025-04-13 27.450962 49.737457 81.067817 126.009872 186.480243 262.760925 363.873037
2025-04-20 26.637861 49.598322 82.398843 130.018145 194.699803 276.902729 386.536720
2025-04-27 25.459208 48.803808 82.725157 132.594732 201.001440 288.608600 406.189058
2025-05-04 23.890039 47.284583 81.914197 133.518761 205.050803 297.408622 422.190830
2025-05-11 23.372504 47.399848 83.466797 137.758928 213.602217 312.114035 445.859094
2025-05-18 22.204978 46.372437 83.261163 139.458305 218.681206 322.304220 463.785551
2025-05-25 20.196805 43.801887 80.608246 137.530533 218.692818 325.775274 473.001014
2025-06-01 18.594736 41.799777 78.713953 136.605226 220.014444 330.932286 484.395335
2025-06-08 17.309408 40.253382 77.442965 136.523787 222.464350 337.571278 497.741600
2025-06-15 16.972296 40.380088 78.798623 140.353935 230.456433 351.703345 521.043364
2025-06-22 16.050635 39.372148 78.290162 141.349124 234.411776 360.406469 537.224576